The Federal Reserve on Wednesday kept interest rates steady amid expectations of higher inflation and lower economic growth ahead and still pointed to two reductions later this year. With markets expecting no chance of a central bank move this week, the Federal Open Market Committee kept its key borrowing rate targeted at a range between 4.25%-4.5%, where it has been since December. Along with the rate decision, the committee indicated, through its closely watched “dot plot,” that two cuts by the end of 2025 are still on the table. However, it lopped off one cut for both 2026 and 2027, putting the expected future rate cuts at four, or a full percentage point.
The plot indicated continued uncertainty from Fed officials about the future of rates. Each dot represents one official’s expectations for rates. There was a wide dispersion on the matrix, with an outlook pointing to a fed funds rate around 3.4% in 2027. Seven of the 19 participants indicated they wanted no cuts this year, up from four in March. However, the committee approved the policy statement unanimously. Economic projections from meeting participants pointed to further stagflationary pressures, with participants seeing the gross domestic product advancing at a 1.4% pace in 2025 and inflation hitting 3%.
Source: CNBC
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