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At Palatine Hill, we find enjoyment in teaching those who want to learn. If you have questions, we have answers. Our insights provide valuable information and perspectives around financial trends, basics, and more.

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Cool Night Sky
U.S. Inflation

Inflation Cools, Still Elevated

U.S. consumer inflation slowed more than expected in June as energy prices retreated, but the moderation was insufficient to convince financial markets to take an interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve this year off the table against the backdrop of renewed conflict in the Middle East. The report from the Labor Department on Tuesday, which also showed underlying inflation subsiding last month, gave officials ‌at the U.S. central bank some breathing room when they meet later this month, economists said. They, however, cautioned that June's Consumer Price Index data had been overtaken by the recent escalation in hostilities between the U.S. and Iran.
Oil Barrel
Global Oil Complex

Oil Drops to Pre-Iran Levels

Oil prices fell about 4% Wednesday as tankers continued to transit the Strait of Hormuz, raising hopes that the worst of the Middle East supply disruption is over. West Texas Intermediate futures hit a session low of $69.63 per barrel, the first time the contract has fallen below $70 since March 2. WTI was last trading down 4% at $70.22 per barrel. Brent crude futures, the international benchmark, fell 4.2% to $73.83 per barrel, notching its lowest level since before the U.S. and Israel launched airstrikes against Iran on Feb. 28.
Neon sign change
U.S. Federal Reserve

Warsh Awash In Changes

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh opened a new era of U.S. monetary policy on Wednesday, with officials agreeing to leave interest rates unchanged despite inflation stuck well above their target but also launching an ambitious review that could reshape how the central bank makes decisions and communicates with the public. Warsh, who took over as Fed chief last month, made an immediate imprint in organizing a unanimous consensus around a stripped-down policy statement that jettisoned any forward guidance on what actions ‌the central bank might take in the near term, although new quarterly projections, eschewed by Warsh himself, showed nine of 19 policymakers now anticipate a rate hike by the end of 2026.
Marching Band
U.S. Inflation

Inflation Continues March Higher

Inflation accelerated in May as rising energy costs contributed to pain for consumers, though underlying pressures were less intense. The consumer price index, a broad gauge of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, rose at a seasonally adjusted 0.5% for the month, putting the annual inflation rate at 4.2%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday.
Sun Rising
U.S. Inflation

Core Inflation Rises

Inflation continued to hit consumer wallets in April, likely keeping the Federal Reserve on the sidelines until the current wave subsides, fresh pricing data released Thursday showed. The personal consumption expenditures price index increased a seasonally adjusted 0.4% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 3.8%, the Commerce Department reported. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for respective readings of 0.5% and 3.8%. Excluding food and energy, core prices rose 0.2% for the month and 3.3% for the year, against estimates of 0.3% and 3.3%.
Space
U.S. Space

Ad Astra!

Elon Musk’s SpaceX is officially headed for the public market in what’s likely to be a record IPO that will put the world’s richest person at the helm of two separate trillion-dollar publicly traded companies. In a prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday, SpaceX said it plans to list under ticker symbol SPCX on the Nasdaq. SpaceX confidentially filed with the SEC in April, and CNBC reported last week that the company is aiming to kick off a roadshow to market the deal on June 8.
Fireworks
U.S. Inflation

Inflation Pops in April

Wholesale prices in April posted their highest annual increase in more than three years, signaling more nettlesome inflation as pipeline costs intensify. The producer price index rose a seasonally adjusted 1.4% for the month, much higher than the 0.5% Dow Jones consensus forecast and the upwardly revised 0.7% March increase, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. This was the largest monthly gain since March 2022. On an annual basis, the index was up 6%, the biggest increase since December 2022. Excluding food and energy, the core PPI accelerated 1%, compared with the 0.4% estimate. Excluding food, energy and trade services, the PPI rose 0.6 %.
Dissent
U.S. Federal Reserve

Rates Steady, Dissents Rise

An unusually divided Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its key interest rate steady as policymakers grappled with the policy impact of persistent inflation and awaited a looming leadership transition at the central bank. In what may have been Chair Jerome Powell’s final meeting at the helm, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee voted to hold the benchmark funds rate in a range between 3.5%-3.75%. Markets had been pricing in a 100% chance of no change. However, the meeting saw a dramatic turn amid a groundswell of officials who opposed messaging that further rate cuts could be ahead. Amid expectations for a routine vote to hold the benchmark funds rate steady, the FOMC instead was split along 8-4 lines, with officials expressing different reasons for their vote. The last time four FOMC members dissented was in October 1992.
Hourglass
U.S. Federal Reserve

Warsh In Waiting

Kevin Warsh, the 56-year-old former Federal Reserve governor, was in the hot seat for his Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing and said his Fed would be independent from the White House. Warsh fielded questions on issues ranging from his views on monetary policy to his sprawling and complex personal finances to his ties to the Trump White House. He would become the wealthiest Fed chair if confirmed. Questions about the Fed’s long-cherished independence have dominated the discourse surrounding the central bank during President Donald Trump’s second term. Warsh gave a qualified endorsement of Fed independence — but noted he doesn’t believe that dynamic is endangered when the central bank’s actions are questioned by elected leaders.
Tall building
U.S. Equity Markets

All-Time Highs

The S&P 500 closed at a new record high Wednesday, its first since the U.S.-Iran conflict began, as hopes of a de-escalation in ‌the war and robust earnings expectations drew investors back into risk assets. The S&P settled at 7,022.95, up 0.8%, LSEG data showed, surpassing its previous closing high in January. It also hit a new intraday record of 7,026.24. U.S. President Donald Trump has said talks with Iran to end the war could soon resume after the ⁠first round of talks in Islamabad collapsed. Equity markets fell sharply last month when hostilities erupted, unleashing a historic shock to oil markets and reviving concerns about inflation and the outlook for U.S. interest rates.
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