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At Palatine Hill, we find enjoyment in teaching those who want to learn. If you have questions, we have answers. Our insights provide valuable information and perspectives around financial trends, basics, and more.

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Enough
U.S. Inflation

Moderate in May

U.S. consumer prices rose slightly in May as gasoline prices remained subdued, but inflation is likely to pick up in the months as tariffs boost the cost of imported goods. The consumer price index CPI increased 0.1% last month after rising 0.2% in April, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI would rise 0.2%. Year on year, the CPI climbed 2.4%, vs a 2.3% rise in the 12 months through April. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI rose 0.1% after gaining 0.2% in April. The so-called "core" CPI inflation increased 2.8% on a year-on-year basis in May after rising 2.8% in April. Inflation data has been slow to reflect U.S. President Donald Trump's slew of tariffs as retailers are selling merchandise that was built up before the levies took effect.
Disappointment
U.S. Employment

Private Payrolls Disappoint

U.S. private employers added the fewest number of workers in more than two years in May, but the data is probably not a true reflection of the labor market, which is gradually easing amid economic uncertainty over the Trump administration's tariffs. Private payrolls increased by only 37,000 jobs last month, the smallest gain since March 2023, after a downwardly revised rise of 60,000 in April, the ADP National Employment Report showed on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private employment would advance by 110,000 following a previously reported increase of 62,000 in April.
Greenlight
U.S. Banking

Regulators Greenlighting Crypto at Banks?

Big U.S. banks are holding internal discussions about expanding into cryptocurrencies as they get stronger endorsements from regulators, but initial steps will be tentative, centering on pilot programs, partnerships or limited crypto trading, according to four industry executives. Wall Street giants that had been largely blocked from many crypto activities by strict regulations are poised to grow quickly. Yet the biggest lenders are still hesitant to be the first among rivals to expand too heavily into crypto in case they fall afoul of changing rules, said the four executives, who declined to be identified since they were discussing internal business plans.
Spiral Staircase
U.S. Debt Rating

Down, Down Baby

Moody’s Ratings Service on Friday said it is downgrading the U.S.’s creditworthiness in response to an increase in government debt over the past decade and rising interest payments, in a blow to the Trump administration that could push up borrowing costs. The downgrade, which puts the U.S. one notch below the highest credit rating, was “driven mainly by increased interest payments on debt, rising entitlement spending, and relatively low revenue generation,” it said.
Bank Vault
U.S. Finance

Potential Cut to Bank Requirements

U.S. authorities are preparing to announce one of the biggest cuts in banks' capital requirements in over a decade, the Financial Times reported on Thursday. Regulators were poised to reduce the supplementary leverage ratio (SLR) in the next few months, the newspaper reported, citing several people familiar with the matter. The supplementary leverage ratio is a rule that requires big U.S. banks to keep an extra layer of loss-absorbing capital.
Monopoly
U.S. Federal Reserve

Risks Rising, Rates Unchanged

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday but said the risks of higher inflation and unemployment had risen, further clouding the U.S. economic outlook as its policymakers grapple with the impact of President Donald Trump's tariffs. At this point, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said, it isn't clear if the economy will continue its steady pace of growth, or wilt under mounting uncertainty and a possible coming spike in inflation.
Manufacturing
U.S. Economy

GDP Declines in First Quarter

The U.S. economy contracted for the first time in three years in the first quarter, swamped by a flood of imports as businesses raced to avoid higher costs from tariffs and underscoring the disruptive nature of President Donald Trump's often chaotic trade policy. The Commerce Department's advance gross domestic product (GDP) report on Wednesday, however, grossly exaggerated the economy's fading prospects. Though consumer spending slowed considerably from the fourth quarter, the pace of growth remained healthy. Businesses also boosted investment in equipment, mostly information processing and transportation.
Escalator
U.S. Foreign Policy

Escalator Up or Down?

Wall Street stocks advanced on Wednesday on revived hopes for progress in the U.S.-China trade dispute and as President Donald Trump soothed fears the Federal Reserve could lose its autonomy with reassurances that he has "no intention of firing" Fed Chair Jerome Powell. All three major U.S. stock indexes pared gains by the closing bell. They gathered momentum during the session after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said high tariffs between the U.S. and China were unsustainable and Trump signaled he was open to easing trade tensions between the world's two largest economies.
Pause Buttons
U.S. Policy

Start, Stop, Pause, Rewind

President Donald Trump on Wednesday dropped new tariff rates on imports from most U.S. trade partners to 10% for 90 days to allow trade negotiations with those countries. Trump announced the pause hours after goods from nearly 90 nations became subject to stiffer, so-called reciprocal tariffs imposed by the United States. The president also said in a social media post that he was raising the tariffs imposed on imports from China to 125% “effective immediately” due to the “lack of respect that China has shown to the World’s Markets.” China, which is the U.S.’s third-largest trading partner, earlier Wednesday said it would increase its tariff rate for imports from the U.S. to 84%.
Cityscape
U.S. Economy

Recession – On or Off the Table?

Orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods unexpectedly rose in February as businesses rushed to avoid potential price increases from tariffs, likely boosting capital expenditure in the first quarter. However, the report from the Commerce Department on Wednesday did not change economists' expectations that economic growth was slowing considerably in the first quarter as businesses and households grapple with a fluid import duty environment. Orders for durable goods, items ranging from toasters to aircraft meant to last three years or more, increased 0.9% after advancing by an upwardly revised 3.3% in January, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecasted that durable goods orders would fall 1.0%.
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